Recent polling ahead of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum shows 61–74% support for remaining a province of Canada versus 22–33% favoring the start of a constitutional process toward a binding independence vote. Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly stated her government supports staying in Confederation, while court rulings requiring First Nations consultation on treaty rights have delayed or altered separatist petition efforts despite verified signatures. A competing pro-Canada petition gathered over 400,000 verified names. These factors, combined with entrenched voter preferences and the non-binding nature of the current question, underpin trader consensus that Albertans are unlikely to endorse independence in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
6% 確率
$272,241 Vol.
$272,241 Vol.
2026/12/30
はい
6% 確率
$272,241 Vol.
$272,241 Vol.
2026/12/30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling ahead of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum shows 61–74% support for remaining a province of Canada versus 22–33% favoring the start of a constitutional process toward a binding independence vote. Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly stated her government supports staying in Confederation, while court rulings requiring First Nations consultation on treaty rights have delayed or altered separatist petition efforts despite verified signatures. A competing pro-Canada petition gathered over 400,000 verified names. These factors, combined with entrenched voter preferences and the non-binding nature of the current question, underpin trader consensus that Albertans are unlikely to endorse independence in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
音量
$272,241終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent polling ahead of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum shows 61–74% support for remaining a province of Canada versus 22–33% favoring the start of a constitutional process toward a binding independence vote. Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly stated her government supports staying in Confederation, while court rulings requiring First Nations consultation on treaty rights have delayed or altered separatist petition efforts despite verified signatures. A competing pro-Canada petition gathered over 400,000 verified names. These factors, combined with entrenched voter preferences and the non-binding nature of the current question, underpin trader consensus that Albertans are unlikely to endorse independence in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$272,241終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 6:28 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Recent polling ahead of Alberta’s October 19, 2026 referendum shows 61–74% support for remaining a province of Canada versus 22–33% favoring the start of a constitutional process toward a binding independence vote. Premier Danielle Smith has repeatedly stated her government supports staying in Confederation, while court rulings requiring First Nations consultation on treaty rights have delayed or altered separatist petition efforts despite verified signatures. A competing pro-Canada petition gathered over 400,000 verified names. These factors, combined with entrenched voter preferences and the non-binding nature of the current question, underpin trader consensus that Albertans are unlikely to endorse independence in 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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