Rebecca Cooke holds a substantial lead in trader consensus for the Wisconsin 3rd District House seat due to her status as a proven close contender in this competitive rematch and the incumbent’s persistent vulnerabilities. Derrick Van Orden won the 2024 general election by less than three points, yet a July 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46 while Van Orden’s favorability sat underwater at 38% favorable to 53% unfavorable. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 11 primary and was cleared of electioneering allegations by a district attorney on September 10. The race remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates actively campaigning on affordability, border security, and health care in a district viewed as a potential bellwether for House control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日レベッカ・クック(民主党)
71%
デリック・ヴァン・オーダン(共和党)
28%
レベッカ・クック(民主党)
71%
デリック・ヴァン・オーダン(共和党)
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
リゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rebecca Cooke holds a substantial lead in trader consensus for the Wisconsin 3rd District House seat due to her status as a proven close contender in this competitive rematch and the incumbent’s persistent vulnerabilities. Derrick Van Orden won the 2024 general election by less than three points, yet a July 2026 poll showed Cooke ahead 50-46 while Van Orden’s favorability sat underwater at 38% favorable to 53% unfavorable. Cooke secured the Democratic nomination decisively in the August 11 primary and was cleared of electioneering allegations by a district attorney on September 10. The race remains rated a toss-up or lean Democratic by major forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election, with both candidates actively campaigning on affordability, border security, and health care in a district viewed as a potential bellwether for House control.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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