Suhas Subramanyam holds a commanding position in the Virginia 10th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his status as the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to Republican Dave Beckwith's roughly $107,000. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Northern Virginia composition and limited Republican primary competition that Beckwith won decisively in August. A scheduled September 22 debate offers one remaining platform for visibility, yet traders' implied probability aligns with structural advantages that have historically favored incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 outcome, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
スハス・スブラマニヤム（民主党）
95%
デイブ・ベックウィズ（共和党）
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
スハス・スブラマニヤム（民主党）
$2,224 Vol.
95%
デイブ・ベックウィズ（共和党）
$5,538 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suhas Subramanyam holds a commanding position in the Virginia 10th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his status as the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to Republican Dave Beckwith's roughly $107,000. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Northern Virginia composition and limited Republican primary competition that Beckwith won decisively in August. A scheduled September 22 debate offers one remaining platform for visibility, yet traders' implied probability aligns with structural advantages that have historically favored incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 outcome, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
音量
$7,762終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suhas Subramanyam holds a commanding position in the Virginia 10th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his status as the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to Republican Dave Beckwith's roughly $107,000. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Northern Virginia composition and limited Republican primary competition that Beckwith won decisively in August. A scheduled September 22 debate offers one remaining platform for visibility, yet traders' implied probability aligns with structural advantages that have historically favored incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 outcome, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$7,762終了日
2026/11/05マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Suhas Subramanyam holds a commanding position in the Virginia 10th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Democratic lean, his status as the freshman incumbent who won the seat in 2024, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.1 million compared to Republican Dave Beckwith's roughly $107,000. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's suburban Northern Virginia composition and limited Republican primary competition that Beckwith won decisively in August. A scheduled September 22 debate offers one remaining platform for visibility, yet traders' implied probability aligns with structural advantages that have historically favored incumbents in similar districts. Late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the November 3 outcome, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問