James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th district House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+18 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent, Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly's death and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. His campaign has raised over $2.7 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, has raised under $6,000. The absence of competitive primaries or notable recent developments reinforces trader consensus around Walkinshaw's outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,286 Vol.
$28,286 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・ウォーキンショー（民主党）
97%
アーサー・パーヴィス（共和党）
<1%
$28,286 Vol.
$28,286 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェームズ・ウォーキンショー（民主党）
$16,650 Vol.
97%
アーサー・パーヴィス（共和党）
$11,636 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th district House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+18 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent, Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly's death and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. His campaign has raised over $2.7 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, has raised under $6,000. The absence of competitive primaries or notable recent developments reinforces trader consensus around Walkinshaw's outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$28,286終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th district House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+18 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent, Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly's death and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. His campaign has raised over $2.7 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, has raised under $6,000. The absence of competitive primaries or notable recent developments reinforces trader consensus around Walkinshaw's outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,286終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...James Walkinshaw holds a commanding position in the Virginia 11th district House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index around D+18 and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. As the incumbent, Walkinshaw secured the seat in a 2025 special election with roughly 75 percent of the vote after Gerry Connolly's death and faces no primary opposition ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. His campaign has raised over $2.7 million with substantial cash on hand, while Republican nominee Arthur Purves, a perennial candidate, has raised under $6,000. The absence of competitive primaries or notable recent developments reinforces trader consensus around Walkinshaw's outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen scandal, health event, or dramatic national realignment capable of overcoming the district's structural partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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