Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, confined largely to Dallas County following Republican-led redistricting, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that multiple forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic. Allred’s prior House service representing overlapping areas, high name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader expectations. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who prevailed in his own runoff, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet the current consensus reflects the district’s entrenched partisan composition and the absence of competitive dynamics heading into the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
2026/11/02
コリン・オールレッド（民主党）
96%
パトリック・ギレスピー（共和党）
1%
$15,594 Vol.
$15,594 Vol.
2026/11/02
コリン・オールレッド（民主党）
$3,095 Vol.
96%
パトリック・ギレスピー（共和党）
$12,499 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, confined largely to Dallas County following Republican-led redistricting, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that multiple forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic. Allred’s prior House service representing overlapping areas, high name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader expectations. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who prevailed in his own runoff, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet the current consensus reflects the district’s entrenched partisan composition and the absence of competitive dynamics heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$15,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, confined largely to Dallas County following Republican-led redistricting, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that multiple forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic. Allred’s prior House service representing overlapping areas, high name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader expectations. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who prevailed in his own runoff, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet the current consensus reflects the district’s entrenched partisan composition and the absence of competitive dynamics heading into the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$15,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Colin Allred secured the Democratic nomination for Texas’s 33rd congressional district after defeating incumbent Julie Johnson in the May 2026 primary runoff, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in the November general election. The newly redrawn district, confined largely to Dallas County following Republican-led redistricting, carries a strong Democratic partisan lean that multiple forecasters rate as Solid or Safe Democratic. Allred’s prior House service representing overlapping areas, high name recognition from his 2024 Senate campaign, and substantial fundraising advantage reinforce trader expectations. Republican nominee Patrick Gillespie, who prevailed in his own runoff, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have historically dominated by wide margins. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could theoretically narrow the gap, yet the current consensus reflects the district’s entrenched partisan composition and the absence of competitive dynamics heading into the final weeks.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問