Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates since the late 19th century. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising advantages over Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary earlier that month. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's partisan character, aligning with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus on Harshbarger's commanding position aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unforeseen national wave, late scandal, or health event capable of altering turnout in this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダイアナ・ハーシュバーガー（共和党）
97%
クリスティ・バーク（民主党）
3%
$27,113 Vol.
$27,113 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダイアナ・ハーシュバーガー（共和党）
$21,678 Vol.
97%
クリスティ・バーク（民主党）
$5,435 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates since the late 19th century. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising advantages over Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary earlier that month. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's partisan character, aligning with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus on Harshbarger's commanding position aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unforeseen national wave, late scandal, or health event capable of altering turnout in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$27,113終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates since the late 19th century. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising advantages over Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary earlier that month. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's partisan character, aligning with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus on Harshbarger's commanding position aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unforeseen national wave, late scandal, or health event capable of altering turnout in this solidly Republican seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$27,113終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+29 Partisan Voter Index and consistent support for GOP candidates since the late 19th century. Incumbent Diana Harshbarger secured her party's nomination without opposition in the August 2026 primary and enters the November general election with substantial fundraising advantages over Democrat Kristi Burke, who prevailed in her primary earlier that month. Mid-decade redistricting preserved the district's partisan character, aligning with historical margins exceeding 50 points in recent cycles. Trader consensus on Harshbarger's commanding position aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or major shifts. Potential disruptions remain limited to an unforeseen national wave, late scandal, or health event capable of altering turnout in this solidly Republican seat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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