Switzerland's September 27 referendum features two popular initiatives: the neutrality initiative, backed by the Swiss People's Party, which seeks to enshrine stricter constitutional limits on sanctions and NATO cooperation, and the food initiative, which targets higher domestic self-sufficiency, expanded plant-based production, and protections for drinking water. Recent SRG and Tamedia polls from mid-September show both measures trailing with clear majorities opposed—roughly 63-68% against the neutrality proposal and 64% against the food measure—reflecting broad parliamentary rejection and voter concerns over foreign policy flexibility and agricultural feasibility. With voting six days away, these surveys anchor trader assessments of passage probabilities amid Switzerland's direct democracy process requiring popular and cantonal majorities for constitutional changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$49,211 Vol.
中立性イニシアチブ
2%
食のイニシアチブ
3%
$49,211 Vol.
中立性イニシアチブ
2%
食のイニシアチブ
3%
- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Jul 13, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...- Issue 1: Popular initiative ‘Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative)’
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative)’
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Switzerland's September 27 referendum features two popular initiatives: the neutrality initiative, backed by the Swiss People's Party, which seeks to enshrine stricter constitutional limits on sanctions and NATO cooperation, and the food initiative, which targets higher domestic self-sufficiency, expanded plant-based production, and protections for drinking water. Recent SRG and Tamedia polls from mid-September show both measures trailing with clear majorities opposed—roughly 63-68% against the neutrality proposal and 64% against the food measure—reflecting broad parliamentary rejection and voter concerns over foreign policy flexibility and agricultural feasibility. With voting six days away, these surveys anchor trader assessments of passage probabilities amid Switzerland's direct democracy process requiring popular and cantonal majorities for constitutional changes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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