The upcoming October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with recent polls showing stable support and a likely minority outcome. Historical turnout in the last two provincial votes hovered near 66%, and the current market distribution clusters probabilities tightly around that range. Expanded advance voting periods, campus stations, and same-day registration aim to ease access for the roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, while a desire for change after years of CAQ governance and regional variations in party strength could lift participation. However, the absence of a single dominant mobilizing issue, persistent undecided voters, and differing turnout patterns by age and language group continue to support the narrow probability spread across the 62-74% bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日66～70％ 34%
70〜74％ 23%
62～66％ 22%
58〜62％ 11%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
58％未満
9%
58〜62％
11%
62～66％
22%
66～70％
34%
70〜74％
23%
74％以上
9%
66～70％ 34%
70〜74％ 23%
62～66％ 22%
58〜62％ 11%
新規
新規
2026/10/05
58％未満
$374 Vol.
9%
58〜62％
$100 Vol.
11%
62～66％
$57 Vol.
22%
66～70％
$191 Vol.
34%
70〜74％
$117 Vol.
23%
74％以上
$233 Vol.
9%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The upcoming October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with recent polls showing stable support and a likely minority outcome. Historical turnout in the last two provincial votes hovered near 66%, and the current market distribution clusters probabilities tightly around that range. Expanded advance voting periods, campus stations, and same-day registration aim to ease access for the roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, while a desire for change after years of CAQ governance and regional variations in party strength could lift participation. However, the absence of a single dominant mobilizing issue, persistent undecided voters, and differing turnout patterns by age and language group continue to support the narrow probability spread across the 62-74% bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
音量
$1,072終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The upcoming October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with recent polls showing stable support and a likely minority outcome. Historical turnout in the last two provincial votes hovered near 66%, and the current market distribution clusters probabilities tightly around that range. Expanded advance voting periods, campus stations, and same-day registration aim to ease access for the roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, while a desire for change after years of CAQ governance and regional variations in party strength could lift participation. However, the absence of a single dominant mobilizing issue, persistent undecided voters, and differing turnout patterns by age and language group continue to support the narrow probability spread across the 62-74% bins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$1,072終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETThe upcoming October 5 Quebec general election features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire, with recent polls showing stable support and a likely minority outcome. Historical turnout in the last two provincial votes hovered near 66%, and the current market distribution clusters probabilities tightly around that range. Expanded advance voting periods, campus stations, and same-day registration aim to ease access for the roughly 6.4 million eligible voters, while a desire for change after years of CAQ governance and regional variations in party strength could lift participation. However, the absence of a single dominant mobilizing issue, persistent undecided voters, and differing turnout patterns by age and language group continue to support the narrow probability spread across the 62-74% bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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