Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日フリオ・セーザル 34.9%
マルセロ・カストロ 32.3%
シロ・ノゲイラ 16%
ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
フリオ・セーザル
35%
マルセロ・カストロ
32%
シロ・ノゲイラ
16%
ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ
5%
トインホ・ドゥフランゴ
<1%
フランシナウド・レアン
<1%
アレクサンドレ・マリアーノ
<1%
マリア・マダレナ・ヌネス
<1%
ミッショナリオ・エヴァンドロ・クラヴェイロ
<1%
クローウス・ジョゼ
<1%
ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ
<1%
ジャルデーニャ・ベゼッラ
<1%
アントニオ・ジョゼ・リラ
<1%
パウロ・ロベルト少佐
<1%
アントニオ・バロス
<1%
ダニエル・ロシャ
<1%
イルマオ・エヴァンドロ・マルケス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロペス
<1%
パストール・セナ
<1%
ペドロ・ラウレンチーノ
<1%
フリオ・セーザル 34.9%
マルセロ・カストロ 32.3%
シロ・ノゲイラ 16%
ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ 5.4%
$42,854 Vol.
$42,854 Vol.
フリオ・セーザル
35%
マルセロ・カストロ
32%
シロ・ノゲイラ
16%
ティアゴ・ジュンケイラ
5%
トインホ・ドゥフランゴ
<1%
フランシナウド・レアン
<1%
アレクサンドレ・マリアーノ
<1%
マリア・マダレナ・ヌネス
<1%
ミッショナリオ・エヴァンドロ・クラヴェイロ
<1%
クローウス・ジョゼ
<1%
ディオニジオ・カルヴァーリョ
<1%
ジャルデーニャ・ベゼッラ
<1%
アントニオ・ジョゼ・リラ
<1%
パウロ・ロベルト少佐
<1%
アントニオ・バロス
<1%
ダニエル・ロシャ
<1%
イルマオ・エヴァンドロ・マルケス
<1%
ホルヘ・ロペス
<1%
パストール・セナ
<1%
ペドロ・ラウレンチーノ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from June 2026 shows Marcelo Castro (MDB) leading Piauí's Senate race for one of two seats, with Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) clustered closely behind amid elevated undecided and blank/null responses. Júlio César's stronger positioning for second place aligns with lower rejection rates compared to Ciro Nogueira, while both trail in consolidated first- and second-preference scenarios. President Lula's September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the governor's aligned slate including Castro and Júlio César, potentially consolidating votes in a state where the PT base remains influential. High undecided shares and campaign momentum around these frontrunners continue to sustain tight probabilities for second place, with any late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs likely to determine separation before October.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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