PA-03 encompasses heavily Democratic urban sections of Philadelphia and carries a partisan voting index exceeding D+40, delivering consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating establishment-backed rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Dwight Evans. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3 general election ballot, leaving Rabb to face only an independent with negligible support and infrastructure. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include candidate withdrawal due to health or legal issues, though such scenarios remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,515 Vol.
$33,515 Vol.
2026/11/02
クリス・ラブ（民主党）
96%
共和党
3%
$33,515 Vol.
$33,515 Vol.
2026/11/02
クリス・ラブ（民主党）
$19,658 Vol.
96%
共和党
$13,856 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).PA-03 encompasses heavily Democratic urban sections of Philadelphia and carries a partisan voting index exceeding D+40, delivering consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating establishment-backed rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Dwight Evans. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3 general election ballot, leaving Rabb to face only an independent with negligible support and infrastructure. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include candidate withdrawal due to health or legal issues, though such scenarios remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$33,515終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).PA-03 encompasses heavily Democratic urban sections of Philadelphia and carries a partisan voting index exceeding D+40, delivering consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating establishment-backed rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Dwight Evans. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3 general election ballot, leaving Rabb to face only an independent with negligible support and infrastructure. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include candidate withdrawal due to health or legal issues, though such scenarios remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,515終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...PA-03 encompasses heavily Democratic urban sections of Philadelphia and carries a partisan voting index exceeding D+40, delivering consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Chris Rabb secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary by defeating establishment-backed rivals, positioning him to succeed retiring incumbent Dwight Evans. No Republican candidate qualified for the November 3 general election ballot, leaving Rabb to face only an independent with negligible support and infrastructure. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat safe Democratic, and trader consensus reflected in the current prices aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could still shift outcomes include candidate withdrawal due to health or legal issues, though such scenarios remain remote given the timeline and district composition.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問