OpenAI's frequent resets of Codex weekly usage limits—driven by high demand for its large language models like GPT-6 Astra, Sol, and Luna—have shaped strong trader consensus on these markets. Recent announcements from engineering leads, including a banked reset on September 29 and an immediate reset on September 26 following service disruptions, reflect ongoing efforts to manage rolling 5-hour and weekly windows amid model rollouts, efficiency fixes, and user milestones. These align with competitive pressures in AI coding tools, where paid plans (Plus, Pro) see scaled allowances and occasional purchased resets. Upcoming catalysts include further model updates or DevDay-related credits that could trigger additional resets before quarter-end. Market-implied odds near 98% for near-term dates capture this pattern while noting potential slippage from compute constraints.