Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 race, reflecting the district’s R+16 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised with millions in cash on hand, compared with Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold’s roughly $48,000. Reinhold advanced from her primary with 64% but faces structural headwinds in the large rural district that delivered Mann 69% of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with the absence of competitive polling and the limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unexpected national midterm wave, major scandal, or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,702 Vol.
$17,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
6%
$17,702 Vol.
$17,702 Vol.
2026/11/02
トレイシー・マン（共和党）
$6,237 Vol.
94%
ローレン・ラインホールド（民主党）
$11,466 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 race, reflecting the district’s R+16 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised with millions in cash on hand, compared with Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold’s roughly $48,000. Reinhold advanced from her primary with 64% but faces structural headwinds in the large rural district that delivered Mann 69% of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with the absence of competitive polling and the limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unexpected national midterm wave, major scandal, or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$17,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 race, reflecting the district’s R+16 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised with millions in cash on hand, compared with Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold’s roughly $48,000. Reinhold advanced from her primary with 64% but faces structural headwinds in the large rural district that delivered Mann 69% of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with the absence of competitive polling and the limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unexpected national midterm wave, major scandal, or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,702終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tracey Mann holds a commanding lead in the KS-01 race, reflecting the district’s R+16 partisan voter index and consistent Solid Republican ratings from forecasters. Mann secured renomination with 81% in the August 4 primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million raised with millions in cash on hand, compared with Democratic nominee Lauren Reinhold’s roughly $48,000. Reinhold advanced from her primary with 64% but faces structural headwinds in the large rural district that delivered Mann 69% of the vote in 2024. Trader consensus at 94% for Mann aligns with the absence of competitive polling and the limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as an unexpected national midterm wave, major scandal, or health event involving the incumbent remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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