Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 general election due to his status as the longtime incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a D+24 partisan voter index. The June 2026 primaries for both parties were canceled after challengers withdrew, leaving Jeffries and Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi as the sole general election candidates on the November 3 ballot. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million this cycle compared to Mizrahi's reported zero fundraising. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance, including Jeffries' 75%+ margins in prior cycles, with limited recent developments or opposition activity to shift the balance. Late-breaking national events or candidate-specific issues remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
2026/11/02
ハキーム・ジェフリーズ（民主党）
96%
ルイス・ミズラヒ（共和党）
4%
$32,637 Vol.
$32,637 Vol.
2026/11/02
ハキーム・ジェフリーズ（民主党）
$14,128 Vol.
96%
ルイス・ミズラヒ（共和党）
$18,510 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 general election due to his status as the longtime incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a D+24 partisan voter index. The June 2026 primaries for both parties were canceled after challengers withdrew, leaving Jeffries and Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi as the sole general election candidates on the November 3 ballot. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million this cycle compared to Mizrahi's reported zero fundraising. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance, including Jeffries' 75%+ margins in prior cycles, with limited recent developments or opposition activity to shift the balance. Late-breaking national events or candidate-specific issues remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$32,637終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 general election due to his status as the longtime incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a D+24 partisan voter index. The June 2026 primaries for both parties were canceled after challengers withdrew, leaving Jeffries and Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi as the sole general election candidates on the November 3 ballot. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million this cycle compared to Mizrahi's reported zero fundraising. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance, including Jeffries' 75%+ margins in prior cycles, with limited recent developments or opposition activity to shift the balance. Late-breaking national events or candidate-specific issues remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,637終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Hakeem Jeffries holds a commanding position in the NY-08 general election due to his status as the longtime incumbent and House Minority Leader in a district with a D+24 partisan voter index. The June 2026 primaries for both parties were canceled after challengers withdrew, leaving Jeffries and Republican nominee Lewis Mizrahi as the sole general election candidates on the November 3 ballot. Jeffries has raised nearly $15 million this cycle compared to Mizrahi's reported zero fundraising. Trader consensus at 96% reflects the district's consistent Democratic performance, including Jeffries' 75%+ margins in prior cycles, with limited recent developments or opposition activity to shift the balance. Late-breaking national events or candidate-specific issues remain the primary theoretical paths to altering the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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