Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドリュー・ガルバリーノ（共和党）
87%
パトリック・ハルピン（民主党）
14%
$17,705 Vol.
$17,705 Vol.
2026/11/02
アンドリュー・ガルバリーノ（共和党）
$7,164 Vol.
87%
パトリック・ハルピン（民主党）
$10,541 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
音量
$17,705終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$17,705終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, a South Shore Long Island seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. The incumbent Republican advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, while Democrat Patrick Halpin, a former Suffolk County executive, also faced no primary contest after challengers were disqualified. Garbarino’s substantial fundraising edge—over $3.5 million raised compared with Halpin’s roughly $462,000—along with his prior 59.8% general-election margin and role chairing the House Homeland Security Committee reinforce trader consensus around his reelection prospects. The November 3 general election remains the key resolution date, with limited recent developments altering the district’s partisan baseline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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