Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt and his strong incumbency record. The district delivered double-digit margins for Norcross in 2024 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by nearly 19 points that year, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries, an independent challenger was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, and Norcross maintains a decisive fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to his opponent’s minimal resources. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. A late national partisan swing, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$45,784 Vol.
$45,784 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナルド・ノークロス（民主党）
95%
デイモン・ガルド（共和党）
6%
$45,784 Vol.
$45,784 Vol.
2026/11/02
ドナルド・ノークロス（民主党）
$27,500 Vol.
95%
デイモン・ガルド（共和党）
$18,284 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt and his strong incumbency record. The district delivered double-digit margins for Norcross in 2024 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by nearly 19 points that year, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries, an independent challenger was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, and Norcross maintains a decisive fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to his opponent’s minimal resources. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. A late national partisan swing, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$45,784終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt and his strong incumbency record. The district delivered double-digit margins for Norcross in 2024 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by nearly 19 points that year, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries, an independent challenger was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, and Norcross maintains a decisive fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to his opponent’s minimal resources. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. A late national partisan swing, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$45,784終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Donald Norcross holds a commanding lead in New Jersey’s 1st congressional district, where trader consensus reflects the seat’s consistent Democratic tilt and his strong incumbency record. The district delivered double-digit margins for Norcross in 2024 and supported the Democratic presidential nominee by nearly 19 points that year, with all major forecasters rating the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Both candidates ran unopposed in the June primaries, an independent challenger was removed from the ballot for insufficient signatures, and Norcross maintains a decisive fundraising edge with over $2 million cash on hand compared to his opponent’s minimal resources. Limited recent polling or campaign developments have kept probabilities stable. A late national partisan swing, major scandal, or sharp turnout shift could still narrow the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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