Recent polling averages ahead of the November 7, 2026, election place National and Labour clearly ahead in party vote, leaving the contest for third position under MMP between New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT. Trader consensus favoring New Zealand First reflects its steady 8–12% range across recent surveys, Winston Peters’ established campaign profile, and historical minor-party resilience near election day. The Greens sit close behind on recent gains to the low-to-mid teens in some polls but show more volatility. ACT remains a distant factor despite occasional double-digit readings, while the two largest parties are expected to occupy first and second. Late shifts among undecided voters and final campaign events could still alter the ordering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand First Party 55%
Green Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 3.9%
National Party 3.5%
$15,188 Vol.
$15,188 Vol.
2026/11/06
New Zealand First Party
55%
Green Party
41%
ACT New Zealand
4%
National Party
3%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
Labour Party
<1%
New Zealand First Party 55%
Green Party 41%
ACT New Zealand 3.9%
National Party 3.5%
$15,188 Vol.
$15,188 Vol.
2026/11/06
New Zealand First Party
$5,447 Vol.
55%
Green Party
$6,195 Vol.
41%
ACT New Zealand
$862 Vol.
4%
National Party
$564 Vol.
3%
Te Pāti Māori
$915 Vol.
<1%
Labour Party
$1,206 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages ahead of the November 7, 2026, election place National and Labour clearly ahead in party vote, leaving the contest for third position under MMP between New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT. Trader consensus favoring New Zealand First reflects its steady 8–12% range across recent surveys, Winston Peters’ established campaign profile, and historical minor-party resilience near election day. The Greens sit close behind on recent gains to the low-to-mid teens in some polls but show more volatility. ACT remains a distant factor despite occasional double-digit readings, while the two largest parties are expected to occupy first and second. Late shifts among undecided voters and final campaign events could still alter the ordering.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$15,188終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages ahead of the November 7, 2026, election place National and Labour clearly ahead in party vote, leaving the contest for third position under MMP between New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT. Trader consensus favoring New Zealand First reflects its steady 8–12% range across recent surveys, Winston Peters’ established campaign profile, and historical minor-party resilience near election day. The Greens sit close behind on recent gains to the low-to-mid teens in some polls but show more volatility. ACT remains a distant factor despite occasional double-digit readings, while the two largest parties are expected to occupy first and second. Late shifts among undecided voters and final campaign events could still alter the ordering.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$15,188終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages ahead of the November 7, 2026, election place National and Labour clearly ahead in party vote, leaving the contest for third position under MMP between New Zealand First, the Greens, and ACT. Trader consensus favoring New Zealand First reflects its steady 8–12% range across recent surveys, Winston Peters’ established campaign profile, and historical minor-party resilience near election day. The Greens sit close behind on recent gains to the low-to-mid teens in some polls but show more volatility. ACT remains a distant factor despite occasional double-digit readings, while the two largest parties are expected to occupy first and second. Late shifts among undecided voters and final campaign events could still alter the ordering.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
56%
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
37%
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