Recent polling averages place National and Labour within a few points of each other in party vote, with both major parties near historic lows around 29-34 percent while minor parties such as the Greens, NZ First, ACT, and Opportunity gain ground. Under New Zealand’s MMP electoral system, these shifts directly influence seat allocations and the ranking between the two largest parties. National’s position as incumbent coalition leader and Labour’s recent policy announcements on supermarkets and corporate offences have not yet produced a sustained lead for either side. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest and the potential for late campaign swings or minor-party threshold outcomes to determine which major party finishes second on election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place
National Party 50%
Labour Party 44%
New Zealand First Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$21,839 Vol.
$21,839 Vol.
2026/11/06
National Party
50%
Labour Party
44%
New Zealand First Party
1%
ACT New Zealand
<1%
Green Party
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
<1%
National Party 50%
Labour Party 44%
New Zealand First Party <1%
ACT New Zealand <1%
$21,839 Vol.
$21,839 Vol.
2026/11/06
National Party
$10,013 Vol.
50%
Labour Party
$6,344 Vol.
44%
New Zealand First Party
$1,613 Vol.
1%
ACT New Zealand
$1,496 Vol.
<1%
Green Party
$795 Vol.
<1%
Te Pāti Māori
$1,577 Vol.
<1%
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour within a few points of each other in party vote, with both major parties near historic lows around 29-34 percent while minor parties such as the Greens, NZ First, ACT, and Opportunity gain ground. Under New Zealand’s MMP electoral system, these shifts directly influence seat allocations and the ranking between the two largest parties. National’s position as incumbent coalition leader and Labour’s recent policy announcements on supermarkets and corporate offences have not yet produced a sustained lead for either side. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest and the potential for late campaign swings or minor-party threshold outcomes to determine which major party finishes second on election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
音量
$21,839終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).Recent polling averages place National and Labour within a few points of each other in party vote, with both major parties near historic lows around 29-34 percent while minor parties such as the Greens, NZ First, ACT, and Opportunity gain ground. Under New Zealand’s MMP electoral system, these shifts directly influence seat allocations and the ranking between the two largest parties. National’s position as incumbent coalition leader and Labour’s recent policy announcements on supermarkets and corporate offences have not yet produced a sustained lead for either side. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest and the potential for late campaign swings or minor-party threshold outcomes to determine which major party finishes second on election night.
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid party list votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
音量
$21,839終了日
2026/11/07マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:49 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place National and Labour within a few points of each other in party vote, with both major parties near historic lows around 29-34 percent while minor parties such as the Greens, NZ First, ACT, and Opportunity gain ground. Under New Zealand’s MMP electoral system, these shifts directly influence seat allocations and the ranking between the two largest parties. National’s position as incumbent coalition leader and Labour’s recent policy announcements on supermarkets and corporate offences have not yet produced a sustained lead for either side. Trader pricing reflects this narrow contest and the potential for late campaign swings or minor-party threshold outcomes to determine which major party finishes second on election night.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日関連
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
50%
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
55%
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
56%
Labour
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