Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
96%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
1%
新規
新規
2026/09/12
イワール・マグラス
$1,882 Vol.
96%
アンドリュー・ブレイミー
$851 Vol.
1%
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$2,733終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
A by-election in the Northern Territory Legislative Assembly division of Mulka is scheduled to take place on September 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Mulka by-election to the Legislative Assembly of the Northern Territory.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Northern Territory Electoral Commission (https://ntec.nt.gov.au/).
音量
$2,733終了日
2026/09/12マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Yiwarr McGrath holds a commanding lead in the Mulka by-election market following his late-August preselection as the Territory Labor candidate to replace independent incumbent Yiŋiya Mark Guyula, who resigned in protest over Country Liberal Party government policies. As a Yolŋu registered nurse and former NT Young Australian of the Year from Galiwin'ku with strong community ties, McGrath's profile aligns with the electorate's emphasis on local representation, healthcare access, and Yolŋu-led decision-making in this remote Arnhem Land seat. The short campaign period before the September 12 vote has limited opportunities for rivals, including independent Andrew Blamey, to build momentum. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages while acknowledging that high independent support in prior contests or unexpected preference flows could still alter the outcome.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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