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icon for ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者

ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者

icon for ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者

ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者

ブレット・ホワイトリー 77%

ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ 16%

ピーター・フレシュニー 5.5%

Polymarket
新規

ブレット・ホワイトリー 77%

ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ 16%

ピーター・フレシュニー 5.5%

Polymarket
新規
icon for ブレット・ホワイトリー

ブレット・ホワイトリー

$4,223 Vol.

77%

icon for ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ

ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ

$53 Vol.

16%

icon for ピーター・フレシュニー

ピーター・フレシュニー

$2,745 Vol.

6%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Brett Whiteley leads trader consensus in the Latrobe Council mayoral market at 76.5% due to his established name recognition as a former federal Liberal MP for Braddon and state parliamentarian who resides in the municipality, along with prior local government experience. This positioning reflects the preferential voting system and the value traders assign to political profiles ahead of the October 27, 2026, postal ballot election. Incumbent Peter Freshney, mayor since 2014 and previously re-elected unopposed, sits at 5.5% amid uncertainty over his candidacy and recent council leadership transitions. James Redgrave holds 15.5%, while the broad field of other candidates remains at 50% as nominations stay open until September 21. The flat pricing for most contenders captures the open nomination period and absence of confirmed major challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$7,021
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Brett Whiteley leads trader consensus in the Latrobe Council mayoral market at 76.5% due to his established name recognition as a former federal Liberal MP for Braddon and state parliamentarian who resides in the municipality, along with prior local government experience. This positioning reflects the preferential voting system and the value traders assign to political profiles ahead of the October 27, 2026, postal ballot election. Incumbent Peter Freshney, mayor since 2014 and previously re-elected unopposed, sits at 5.5% amid uncertainty over his candidacy and recent council leadership transitions. James Redgrave holds 15.5%, while the broad field of other candidates remains at 50% as nominations stay open until September 21. The flat pricing for most contenders captures the open nomination period and absence of confirmed major challengers.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Latrobe Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
音量
$7,021
終了日
2026/10/28
マーケット開始日
Sep 3, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

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よくある質問

「ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ブレット・ホワイトリー」で77%、次いで「ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ」が16%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、77¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に77%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Sep 3, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「ブレット・ホワイトリー」で77%であり、市場がこの結果に77%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ジェームズ・レッドグレイブ」で16%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ラトローブ市長選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。