Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2026/11/02
ケリー・モリソン（民主党）
95%
タイラー・バス（共和党）
6%
$21,966 Vol.
$21,966 Vol.
2026/11/02
ケリー・モリソン（民主党）
$12,428 Vol.
95%
タイラー・バス（共和党）
$9,538 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$21,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,966終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kelly Morrison holds a commanding position in Minnesota’s 3rd congressional district, a suburban Minneapolis seat that has shifted toward Democrats in recent cycles and carries a partisan lean favoring the party by roughly five to eleven points. Morrison, a physician first elected in 2024, benefits from incumbency, strong name recognition, and alignment with voter priorities on healthcare and abortion rights in an affluent, college-educated district. Republican nominee Tyler Bass, who won a low-turnout primary, faces structural headwinds in a race rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Democratic nominee reflects this baseline, though late-cycle developments such as a major scandal, candidate health issue, or national political shift could still narrow the margin before the November general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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