Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
1%
$39,214 Vol.
$39,214 Vol.
2026/11/02
ラシダ・タリーブ（民主党）
$21,751 Vol.
96%
ジェームズ・フーパー（共和党）
$17,463 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$39,214終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$39,214終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Rashida Tlaib secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan's 12th Congressional District after defeating primary challengers in the August 4, 2026, contest, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in the November 3 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from forecasters and a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+21, underpins trader consensus on her commanding lead. Incumbency advantages, substantial fundraising, and prior general-election margins near 70 percent further reinforce this positioning against Republican nominee James Hooper. Realistic shifts in odds would require a major national political realignment, significant late-cycle developments, or an unforeseen event altering the general-election dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問