Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and now holds a commanding lead in the general election contest against Republican Ethan Baker. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, lies in a solidly Democratic Oakland County district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience and party support, benefits from established voter identification and fundraising advantages typical in such partisan environments. Baker, Troy’s mayor and the unopposed GOP nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan dynamics, with limited room for shifts absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant external events before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェレミー・モス（民主党）
96%
イーサン・ベイカー（共和党）
3%
$79,162 Vol.
$79,162 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェレミー・モス（民主党）
$56,609 Vol.
96%
イーサン・ベイカー（共和党）
$22,552 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and now holds a commanding lead in the general election contest against Republican Ethan Baker. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, lies in a solidly Democratic Oakland County district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience and party support, benefits from established voter identification and fundraising advantages typical in such partisan environments. Baker, Troy’s mayor and the unopposed GOP nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan dynamics, with limited room for shifts absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant external events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$79,162終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and now holds a commanding lead in the general election contest against Republican Ethan Baker. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, lies in a solidly Democratic Oakland County district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience and party support, benefits from established voter identification and fundraising advantages typical in such partisan environments. Baker, Troy’s mayor and the unopposed GOP nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan dynamics, with limited room for shifts absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant external events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$79,162終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 11th Congressional District in the August 2026 primary and now holds a commanding lead in the general election contest against Republican Ethan Baker. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, lies in a solidly Democratic Oakland County district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience and party support, benefits from established voter identification and fundraising advantages typical in such partisan environments. Baker, Troy’s mayor and the unopposed GOP nominee, faces structural headwinds in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus reflects these baseline partisan dynamics, with limited room for shifts absent major late-cycle developments such as candidate withdrawals or significant external events before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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