Johnny Olszewski, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s D+10 partisan voting index, his primary victory with over 84% of the vote in June 2026, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent’s roughly $20,000. Dave Wallace secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds as a perennial candidate in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require extraordinary late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal, though historical patterns and current indicators show limited pathways for the Republican challenger to close the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョニー・オルシェフスキー（民主党）
96%
デイブ・ウォレス（共和党）
5%
$24,629 Vol.
$24,629 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジョニー・オルシェフスキー（民主党）
$12,596 Vol.
96%
デイブ・ウォレス（共和党）
$12,034 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s D+10 partisan voting index, his primary victory with over 84% of the vote in June 2026, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent’s roughly $20,000. Dave Wallace secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds as a perennial candidate in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require extraordinary late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal, though historical patterns and current indicators show limited pathways for the Republican challenger to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Johnny Olszewski, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s D+10 partisan voting index, his primary victory with over 84% of the vote in June 2026, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent’s roughly $20,000. Dave Wallace secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds as a perennial candidate in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require extraordinary late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal, though historical patterns and current indicators show limited pathways for the Republican challenger to close the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,629終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Johnny Olszewski, the Democratic incumbent, holds a commanding position in Maryland’s 2nd congressional district due to the seat’s D+10 partisan voting index, his primary victory with over 84% of the vote in June 2026, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1 million compared to his opponent’s roughly $20,000. Dave Wallace secured the Republican nomination but faces structural headwinds as a perennial candidate in a district encompassing Baltimore County suburbs and portions of Baltimore City. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require extraordinary late-cycle events such as a major scandal or health-related withdrawal, though historical patterns and current indicators show limited pathways for the Republican challenger to close the gap.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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