Ulf Prange (SPD) leads trader consensus at 58% for the Oldenburg mayoral runoff after finishing first in the September 13 initial round with 33.2% against Jascha Rohr’s 30.5%. No candidate secured an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 decision between the two frontrunners. Rohr, running as an independent backed by the Greens and CDU, trails at 12.5% in current pricing amid efforts to consolidate support from smaller candidates. Key variables include endorsements from eliminated contenders such as Ralf Butzin and Volt, the absence of a recommendation from Die Linke’s Heike Boldt (12%), and voter priorities around affordable housing and municipal finances. The narrow first-round gap and six-day campaign window sustain uncertainty over final turnout and vote transfers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ウルフ・プランゲ 57%
ヤシャ・ロール 27%
セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%
ハイケ・ボルト <1%
$22,519 Vol.
$22,519 Vol.

ウルフ・プランゲ
57%

ヤシャ・ロール
18%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ
<1%

ハイケ・ボルト
<1%

ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス
<1%

ヤクプ・カストゥール
<1%

ビアンカ・キュスナー
<1%

ミヒャエル・スティレ
<1%

ラルフ・ブッツィン
<1%
ウルフ・プランゲ 57%
ヤシャ・ロール 27%
セバスチャン・フレリッヒ <1%
ハイケ・ボルト <1%
$22,519 Vol.
$22,519 Vol.

ウルフ・プランゲ
57%

ヤシャ・ロール
18%

セバスチャン・フレリッヒ
<1%

ハイケ・ボルト
<1%

ホルガー・マルティン・ウィルケンス
<1%

ヤクプ・カストゥール
<1%

ビアンカ・キュスナー
<1%

ミヒャエル・スティレ
<1%

ラルフ・ブッツィン
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
マーケット開始日: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Ulf Prange (SPD) leads trader consensus at 58% for the Oldenburg mayoral runoff after finishing first in the September 13 initial round with 33.2% against Jascha Rohr’s 30.5%. No candidate secured an absolute majority, triggering the September 27 decision between the two frontrunners. Rohr, running as an independent backed by the Greens and CDU, trails at 12.5% in current pricing amid efforts to consolidate support from smaller candidates. Key variables include endorsements from eliminated contenders such as Ralf Butzin and Volt, the absence of a recommendation from Die Linke’s Heike Boldt (12%), and voter priorities around affordable housing and municipal finances. The narrow first-round gap and six-day campaign window sustain uncertainty over final turnout and vote transfers.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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