Tensions between Israel and Turkey remain elevated over influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block reported Turkish military deployments. Turkish officials denied such plans and accused Israel of destabilizing the region, while both sides exchanged sharp rhetoric including renewed genocide warrants and warnings of red lines. US mediation efforts, including deconfliction channels involving President Trump’s envoys and Israeli-Syrian contacts, have sought to prevent escalation. Turkey’s NATO membership and shared Western ties with Israel further constrain direct confrontation, supporting trader consensus that a bilateral military clash remains unlikely before 2027 despite ongoing competition for regional leverage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
14% 確率
$428,699 Vol.
$428,699 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
14% 確率
$428,699 Vol.
$428,699 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions between Israel and Turkey remain elevated over influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block reported Turkish military deployments. Turkish officials denied such plans and accused Israel of destabilizing the region, while both sides exchanged sharp rhetoric including renewed genocide warrants and warnings of red lines. US mediation efforts, including deconfliction channels involving President Trump’s envoys and Israeli-Syrian contacts, have sought to prevent escalation. Turkey’s NATO membership and shared Western ties with Israel further constrain direct confrontation, supporting trader consensus that a bilateral military clash remains unlikely before 2027 despite ongoing competition for regional leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
音量
$428,699終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions between Israel and Turkey remain elevated over influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block reported Turkish military deployments. Turkish officials denied such plans and accused Israel of destabilizing the region, while both sides exchanged sharp rhetoric including renewed genocide warrants and warnings of red lines. US mediation efforts, including deconfliction channels involving President Trump’s envoys and Israeli-Syrian contacts, have sought to prevent escalation. Turkey’s NATO membership and shared Western ties with Israel further constrain direct confrontation, supporting trader consensus that a bilateral military clash remains unlikely before 2027 despite ongoing competition for regional leverage.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of Israel and Turkey by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Isreali and Turkish military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$428,699終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Tensions between Israel and Turkey remain elevated over influence in post-Assad Syria, highlighted by Israel's August 2026 airstrikes on the Abu al-Duhur airbase near the Turkish border to block reported Turkish military deployments. Turkish officials denied such plans and accused Israel of destabilizing the region, while both sides exchanged sharp rhetoric including renewed genocide warrants and warnings of red lines. US mediation efforts, including deconfliction channels involving President Trump’s envoys and Israeli-Syrian contacts, have sought to prevent escalation. Turkey’s NATO membership and shared Western ties with Israel further constrain direct confrontation, supporting trader consensus that a bilateral military clash remains unlikely before 2027 despite ongoing competition for regional leverage.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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