Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination for Indiana's 3rd Congressional District with a decisive May 2026 primary victory, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by Fort Wayne and carrying an R+16 Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Kelly Thompson, the Democratic nominee who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Stutzman aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーリン・スタッツマン（共和党）
95%
ケリー・トンプソン（民主党）
5%
$24,242 Vol.
$24,242 Vol.
2026/11/02
マーリン・スタッツマン（共和党）
$4,666 Vol.
95%
ケリー・トンプソン（民主党）
$19,576 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination for Indiana's 3rd Congressional District with a decisive May 2026 primary victory, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by Fort Wayne and carrying an R+16 Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Kelly Thompson, the Democratic nominee who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Stutzman aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$24,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination for Indiana's 3rd Congressional District with a decisive May 2026 primary victory, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by Fort Wayne and carrying an R+16 Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Kelly Thompson, the Democratic nominee who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Stutzman aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$24,242終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Marlin Stutzman secured the Republican nomination for Indiana's 3rd Congressional District with a decisive May 2026 primary victory, positioning him as the strong favorite in a district rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The northeast Indiana seat, anchored by Fort Wayne and carrying an R+16 Partisan Voter Index, has consistently delivered Republican margins above 60 percent in recent cycles. Kelly Thompson, the Democratic nominee who advanced unopposed, faces structural headwinds from limited fundraising and the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus at 95 percent for Stutzman aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling shifts. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or national political realignment could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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