Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
99%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
2%
$25,146 Vol.
$25,146 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ボスト（共和党）
$14,014 Vol.
99%
ジュリー・フォルティエ（民主党）
$11,132 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$25,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$25,146終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Bost maintains a commanding position in the Illinois 12th congressional district race due to the area's consistent Republican lean, rated solid or safe by major forecasters, and his strong 2024 reelection margin exceeding 74 percent. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the March 2026 primaries, leaving Bost with a substantial fundraising edge and established voter base in southern Illinois districts that favor Republican incumbents. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors and historical patterns in downstate seats. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes include major late-cycle national political developments, candidate health events, or unexpected turnout changes in the final weeks before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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