Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/02
カルロス・ヒメネス（共和党）
94%
フィル・エアー（民主党）
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2026/11/02
カルロス・ヒメネス（共和党）
$33,834 Vol.
94%
フィル・エアー（民主党）
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$57,564終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Carlos Giménez holds a commanding lead in Florida's 28th congressional district due to his 2024 reelection margin exceeding 29 points and the area's solid Republican lean after mid-decade redistricting that favored the party. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican, with Trump carrying the district by 6.5 points in the prior presidential contest, while both candidates advanced unopposed in August primaries. Recent developments remain limited, though Democrat Phil Ehr secured a labor union endorsement in early September. Trader consensus at 94 percent for Giménez reflects these fundamentals and the absence of major polling shifts. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include national economic changes, unexpected turnout surges among Democratic voters in Miami-Dade and Monroe counties, or late-breaking developments affecting either candidate before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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