Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$5,359 Vol.
95%
共和党
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$43,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware's at-large House seat remains a strong Democratic hold heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, driven by the state's consistent partisan lean and incumbent Sarah McBride's position after her 2024 victory. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and a primary field that includes Joseph Arminio, Earl Cooper, and John Whalen III ahead of the September 15 nominating contest. No recent polling or developments indicate meaningful erosion of the Democratic advantage, consistent with historical patterns in this district. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen event such as a significant scandal, health development, or national political realignment strong enough to overcome the state's baseline and incumbency edge.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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