Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 5th district race due to her incumbency advantage, a district with a Democratic partisan lean, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.3 million compared to Republican Chris Shea’s roughly $312,000. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea consolidated Republican support after winning his primary with 81% of the vote in August 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with her 2024 margin of 53.4%. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジャハナ・ヘイズ（民主党）
95%
クリス・シェイ（共和党）
4%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ジャハナ・ヘイズ（民主党）
$5,328 Vol.
95%
クリス・シェイ（共和党）
$3,497 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 5th district race due to her incumbency advantage, a district with a Democratic partisan lean, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.3 million compared to Republican Chris Shea’s roughly $312,000. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea consolidated Republican support after winning his primary with 81% of the vote in August 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with her 2024 margin of 53.4%. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
音量
$8,824終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 5th district race due to her incumbency advantage, a district with a Democratic partisan lean, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.3 million compared to Republican Chris Shea’s roughly $312,000. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea consolidated Republican support after winning his primary with 81% of the vote in August 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with her 2024 margin of 53.4%. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$8,824終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 11:47 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jahana Hayes holds a commanding position in the Connecticut 5th district race due to her incumbency advantage, a district with a Democratic partisan lean, and a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $1.3 million compared to Republican Chris Shea’s roughly $312,000. Hayes advanced unopposed in the Democratic primary, while Shea consolidated Republican support after winning his primary with 81% of the vote in August 2026. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Likely Democratic, consistent with her 2024 margin of 53.4%. Trader consensus at 95% reflects these structural factors and the absence of major recent disruptions. Late developments such as a national partisan shift, health events, or unexpected scandals could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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