Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2008, Himes benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $1.3 million raised compared to challenger Michael Goldstein's roughly $47,000 through mid-2026. Goldstein secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary but faces the same structural barriers that led to his prior defeats in 2020, 2022, and 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Himes, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this southwest Connecticut district encompassing areas like Stamford and Greenwich.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ハイムズ（民主党）
96%
マイケル・ゴールドスタイン（共和党）
4%
$47,340 Vol.
$47,340 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジム・ハイムズ（民主党）
$21,773 Vol.
96%
マイケル・ゴールドスタイン（共和党）
$25,567 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2008, Himes benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $1.3 million raised compared to challenger Michael Goldstein's roughly $47,000 through mid-2026. Goldstein secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary but faces the same structural barriers that led to his prior defeats in 2020, 2022, and 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Himes, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this southwest Connecticut district encompassing areas like Stamford and Greenwich.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$47,340終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2008, Himes benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $1.3 million raised compared to challenger Michael Goldstein's roughly $47,000 through mid-2026. Goldstein secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary but faces the same structural barriers that led to his prior defeats in 2020, 2022, and 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Himes, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this southwest Connecticut district encompassing areas like Stamford and Greenwich.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$47,340終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jim Himes maintains a commanding lead in the Connecticut 4th district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. As the incumbent since 2008, Himes benefits from substantial fundraising advantages, with over $1.3 million raised compared to challenger Michael Goldstein's roughly $47,000 through mid-2026. Goldstein secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary but faces the same structural barriers that led to his prior defeats in 2020, 2022, and 2024. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. A realistic shift in trader consensus would require an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant personal or ethical issue affecting Himes, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this southwest Connecticut district encompassing areas like Stamford and Greenwich.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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