Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding lead in the VA-04 race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, encompassing Richmond and surrounding Southside areas where she secured over 67 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Murray's low-profile candidacy following an uncontested primary. McClellan's long record in state and federal office, combined with active constituent outreach on affordability and healthcare ahead of the November 3 general election, reinforces trader consensus around her position. A significant shift would require unexpected national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout favoring Murray or the additional independent on the ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェニファー・マクレラン（民主党）
96%
ロバート・マレー（共和党）
2%
$41,614 Vol.
$41,614 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジェニファー・マクレラン（民主党）
$12,217 Vol.
96%
ロバート・マレー（共和党）
$29,397 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding lead in the VA-04 race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, encompassing Richmond and surrounding Southside areas where she secured over 67 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Murray's low-profile candidacy following an uncontested primary. McClellan's long record in state and federal office, combined with active constituent outreach on affordability and healthcare ahead of the November 3 general election, reinforces trader consensus around her position. A significant shift would require unexpected national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout favoring Murray or the additional independent on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$41,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding lead in the VA-04 race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, encompassing Richmond and surrounding Southside areas where she secured over 67 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Murray's low-profile candidacy following an uncontested primary. McClellan's long record in state and federal office, combined with active constituent outreach on affordability and healthcare ahead of the November 3 general election, reinforces trader consensus around her position. A significant shift would require unexpected national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout favoring Murray or the additional independent on the ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$41,614終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jennifer McClellan holds a commanding lead in the VA-04 race due to the district's consistent Democratic tilt, encompassing Richmond and surrounding Southside areas where she secured over 67 percent in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican infrastructure and Murray's low-profile candidacy following an uncontested primary. McClellan's long record in state and federal office, combined with active constituent outreach on affordability and healthcare ahead of the November 3 general election, reinforces trader consensus around her position. A significant shift would require unexpected national political realignment, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout favoring Murray or the additional independent on the ballot.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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