Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge, and strong primary performance where she captured 57.7% against a fragmented field. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Jacobs' prior general-election margins near 60%. Republican nominee Ricardo Cabrera, a business owner who advanced with 37% in the June primary, has shown limited traction in a San Diego County area that favors Democratic candidates in federal races. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign controversies could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$33,967 Vol.
$33,967 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・ジェイコブス（民主党）
96%
リカルド・カブレラ（共和党）
5%
$33,967 Vol.
$33,967 Vol.
2026/11/02
サラ・ジェイコブス（民主党）
$18,229 Vol.
96%
リカルド・カブレラ（共和党）
$15,738 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge, and strong primary performance where she captured 57.7% against a fragmented field. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Jacobs' prior general-election margins near 60%. Republican nominee Ricardo Cabrera, a business owner who advanced with 37% in the June primary, has shown limited traction in a San Diego County area that favors Democratic candidates in federal races. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign controversies could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$33,967終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge, and strong primary performance where she captured 57.7% against a fragmented field. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Jacobs' prior general-election margins near 60%. Republican nominee Ricardo Cabrera, a business owner who advanced with 37% in the June primary, has shown limited traction in a San Diego County area that favors Democratic candidates in federal races. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign controversies could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-51 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$33,967終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sara Jacobs holds a commanding position in California's 51st congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, driven by the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her established fundraising edge, and strong primary performance where she captured 57.7% against a fragmented field. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's voter registration advantage and Jacobs' prior general-election margins near 60%. Republican nominee Ricardo Cabrera, a business owner who advanced with 37% in the June primary, has shown limited traction in a San Diego County area that favors Democratic candidates in federal races. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as national political shifts, candidate health events, or unforeseen campaign controversies could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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