Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2026/11/02
デイブ・ミン（民主党）
95%
ジェニー・ルルー（共和党）
6%
$14,137 Vol.
$14,137 Vol.
2026/11/02
デイブ・ミン（民主党）
$3,261 Vol.
95%
ジェニー・ルルー（共和党）
$10,876 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$14,137終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,137終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Dave Min holds a commanding lead in the CA-47 general election due to his status as the Democratic incumbent in a district rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters, combined with strong fundraising of over $3 million and a decisive top-two primary win where he captured 45.5% of the vote ahead of Republican Jenny Le Roux at 25%. The Orange County seat's voter registration and recent electoral history favor the Democratic nominee, reflecting trader consensus on limited Republican path-to-victory in this environment. Scenarios that could still alter the outcome include major late-campaign developments such as scandals, health events, or significant national political shifts that boost Republican turnout before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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