Recent outages and degraded performance incidents have driven the elevated 82.5% implied probability for another Codex outage before year-end. OpenAI’s coding agent, which powers web, API, CLI, and VS Code extension access, suffered a full 56-minute outage on September 25, 2026, followed by over five hours of elevated errors across Codex and related services on September 29. Additional degraded performance hit on October 7 tied to Dot thread failures and ChatGPT Work integration issues. These repeated internal disruptions, rate-limit resets for paid users, and the service’s expanding feature set continue to underscore reliability challenges for the large language model platform, keeping trader sentiment tilted toward further incidents in the remaining months of 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日View resolved

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