OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on release timing and attribution markets. The model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned frontier system, delivers state-of-the-art results in computer use, agentic workflows, software engineering, and cybersecurity benchmarks such as 100% on ExploitBench and 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 under its harness. It follows a short development pause after a prior model’s security incident and succeeds GPT-5.6 Sol by roughly two months. Phased rollout began with select organizations via the Daybreak program before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API access at $10/$50 per million tokens. Traders are monitoring full availability timelines, any gating of cyber capabilities, and competitive moves from Anthropic’s recent Fable releases as potential near-term swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
2026/10/31
10月31日
58%
12月31日
89%
$1,168 Vol.
10月31日
$1,106 Vol.
58%
12月31日
$62 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on release timing and attribution markets. The model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned frontier system, delivers state-of-the-art results in computer use, agentic workflows, software engineering, and cybersecurity benchmarks such as 100% on ExploitBench and 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 under its harness. It follows a short development pause after a prior model’s security incident and succeeds GPT-5.6 Sol by roughly two months. Phased rollout began with select organizations via the Daybreak program before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API access at $10/$50 per million tokens. Traders are monitoring full availability timelines, any gating of cyber capabilities, and competitive moves from Anthropic’s recent Fable releases as potential near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$1,168終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on release timing and attribution markets. The model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned frontier system, delivers state-of-the-art results in computer use, agentic workflows, software engineering, and cybersecurity benchmarks such as 100% on ExploitBench and 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 under its harness. It follows a short development pause after a prior model’s security incident and succeeds GPT-5.6 Sol by roughly two months. Phased rollout began with select organizations via the Daybreak program before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API access at $10/$50 per million tokens. Traders are monitoring full availability timelines, any gating of cyber capabilities, and competitive moves from Anthropic’s recent Fable releases as potential near-term swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI makes a GPT Astra model designated 6.1 or higher available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must be an OpenAI model designated as version 6.1 or higher that includes "Astra" in its name or model identifier, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, GPT-6.1 Astra, Astra 6.1, or GPT Astra 7 would all qualify. GPT-6 Astra, including any rollout, promotion, Pro or Fast mode, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Tier-labeled models such as GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-5.6 Luna and their successors, and task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, or Realtime models, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$1,168終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Sep 4, 2026, 12:44 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI launched GPT-6 Astra on September 3, 2026, marking the primary catalyst behind current trader sentiment on release timing and attribution markets. The model, positioned as the company’s most capable and aligned frontier system, delivers state-of-the-art results in computer use, agentic workflows, software engineering, and cybersecurity benchmarks such as 100% on ExploitBench and 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3 under its harness. It follows a short development pause after a prior model’s security incident and succeeds GPT-5.6 Sol by roughly two months. Phased rollout began with select organizations via the Daybreak program before expanding to ChatGPT Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and API access at $10/$50 per million tokens. Traders are monitoring full availability timelines, any gating of cyber capabilities, and competitive moves from Anthropic’s recent Fable releases as potential near-term swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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