International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quintet envoys' direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10, 2026, and UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's recent meetings with Sudanese Armed Forces leader Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, represent the most active push for de-escalation since the April 2023 outbreak. These efforts coordinate with the Quad to advance a humanitarian truce and civilian-led process while excluding the warring generals from initial talks. However, hostilities persist with RSF advances in Blue Nile, intensified drone strikes, and SAF counteroffensives in Kordofan, alongside stalled prior proposals over full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities. The humanitarian crisis, marked by mass displacement and famine risks, continues to draw renewed UN calls for an immediate ceasefire, though both sides maintain demands that have blocked earlier truces.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCessate il fuoco della guerra civile in Sudan entro...?
Cessate il fuoco della guerra civile in Sudan entro...?
$119,424 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 dicembre 2026
14%
$119,424 Vol.
31 dicembre 2026
$14,886 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quintet envoys' direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10, 2026, and UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's recent meetings with Sudanese Armed Forces leader Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, represent the most active push for de-escalation since the April 2023 outbreak. These efforts coordinate with the Quad to advance a humanitarian truce and civilian-led process while excluding the warring generals from initial talks. However, hostilities persist with RSF advances in Blue Nile, intensified drone strikes, and SAF counteroffensives in Kordofan, alongside stalled prior proposals over full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities. The humanitarian crisis, marked by mass displacement and famine risks, continues to draw renewed UN calls for an immediate ceasefire, though both sides maintain demands that have blocked earlier truces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
Volume
$119,424Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quintet envoys' direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10, 2026, and UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's recent meetings with Sudanese Armed Forces leader Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, represent the most active push for de-escalation since the April 2023 outbreak. These efforts coordinate with the Quad to advance a humanitarian truce and civilian-led process while excluding the warring generals from initial talks. However, hostilities persist with RSF advances in Blue Nile, intensified drone strikes, and SAF counteroffensives in Kordofan, alongside stalled prior proposals over full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities. The humanitarian crisis, marked by mass displacement and famine risks, continues to draw renewed UN calls for an immediate ceasefire, though both sides maintain demands that have blocked earlier truces.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
Volume
$119,424Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...International diplomatic initiatives, including the Quintet envoys' direct consultations in Khartoum from September 8-10, 2026, and UN envoy Pekka Haavisto's recent meetings with Sudanese Armed Forces leader Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, represent the most active push for de-escalation since the April 2023 outbreak. These efforts coordinate with the Quad to advance a humanitarian truce and civilian-led process while excluding the warring generals from initial talks. However, hostilities persist with RSF advances in Blue Nile, intensified drone strikes, and SAF counteroffensives in Kordofan, alongside stalled prior proposals over full RSF withdrawals from occupied cities. The humanitarian crisis, marked by mass displacement and famine risks, continues to draw renewed UN calls for an immediate ceasefire, though both sides maintain demands that have blocked earlier truces.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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