Recent dry conditions in New York City, with only about 0.9 inches recorded through mid-September against a 4.3-inch historical average, have kept totals below normal and shaped trader positioning around 2–4 inches for the month. National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly dry weather after a weekend system that may add 1–2 inches, with low precipitation probabilities and minimal additional accumulation expected through late September. This setup favors outcomes near or slightly below climatological norms, as steering patterns and lack of tropical moisture or stalled fronts limit widespread rainfall. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for totals exceeding 5 inches without a significant late-month event, while below 2 inches would require an unusually persistent dry regime.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitazioni a New York a settembre?
Precipitazioni a New York a settembre?
3-4" 26%
2-3" 25%
4-5" 22%
>6" 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
<2"
8%
2-3"
25%
3-4"
27%
4-5"
22%
5-6"
7%
>6"
14%
3-4" 26%
2-3" 25%
4-5" 22%
>6" 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 set 2026
<2"
$1,235 Vol.
8%
2-3"
$469 Vol.
25%
3-4"
$212 Vol.
27%
4-5"
$466 Vol.
22%
5-6"
$166 Vol.
7%
>6"
$1,300 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions in New York City, with only about 0.9 inches recorded through mid-September against a 4.3-inch historical average, have kept totals below normal and shaped trader positioning around 2–4 inches for the month. National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly dry weather after a weekend system that may add 1–2 inches, with low precipitation probabilities and minimal additional accumulation expected through late September. This setup favors outcomes near or slightly below climatological norms, as steering patterns and lack of tropical moisture or stalled fronts limit widespread rainfall. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for totals exceeding 5 inches without a significant late-month event, while below 2 inches would require an unusually persistent dry regime.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ET
Volume
$3,847Data di fine
2 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent dry conditions in New York City, with only about 0.9 inches recorded through mid-September against a 4.3-inch historical average, have kept totals below normal and shaped trader positioning around 2–4 inches for the month. National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly dry weather after a weekend system that may add 1–2 inches, with low precipitation probabilities and minimal additional accumulation expected through late September. This setup favors outcomes near or slightly below climatological norms, as steering patterns and lack of tropical moisture or stalled fronts limit widespread rainfall. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for totals exceeding 5 inches without a significant late-month event, while below 2 inches would require an unusually persistent dry regime.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Central Park, New York City between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for September 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of September 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,847Data di fine
2 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 31, 2026, 9:44 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent dry conditions in New York City, with only about 0.9 inches recorded through mid-September against a 4.3-inch historical average, have kept totals below normal and shaped trader positioning around 2–4 inches for the month. National Weather Service forecasts indicate mostly dry weather after a weekend system that may add 1–2 inches, with low precipitation probabilities and minimal additional accumulation expected through late September. This setup favors outcomes near or slightly below climatological norms, as steering patterns and lack of tropical moisture or stalled fronts limit widespread rainfall. Model consensus shows limited upside risk for totals exceeding 5 inches without a significant late-month event, while below 2 inches would require an unusually persistent dry regime.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti