Suzanne Bonamici's commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency since 2012, and the absence of competitive threats. She secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May primary against a minor challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's western Portland suburbs and history of double-digit margins. Traders' 96% consensus on Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and her fundraising edge. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
3%
$27,452 Vol.
$27,452 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Suzanne Bonamici (D)
$10,566 Vol.
96%
Barbara Kahl (R)
$16,887 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici's commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency since 2012, and the absence of competitive threats. She secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May primary against a minor challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's western Portland suburbs and history of double-digit margins. Traders' 96% consensus on Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and her fundraising edge. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,452Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Suzanne Bonamici's commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency since 2012, and the absence of competitive threats. She secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May primary against a minor challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's western Portland suburbs and history of double-digit margins. Traders' 96% consensus on Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and her fundraising edge. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,452Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Suzanne Bonamici's commanding position in Oregon's 1st Congressional District stems from the seat's consistent Democratic lean, her incumbency since 2012, and the absence of competitive threats. She secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May primary against a minor challenger, while Republican Barbara Kahl prevailed in a low-turnout GOP contest. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the district's western Portland suburbs and history of double-digit margins. Traders' 96% consensus on Bonamici aligns with these structural factors and her fundraising edge. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national partisan shift could theoretically narrow the gap before November 3, though no such developments have emerged.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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