Incumbent Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69 percent of the primary vote, consolidating support from local party leaders and labor groups in the heavily Democratic district. The absence of a Republican nominee on the November ballot, following the GOP's failure to meet signature requirements, further reinforces the structural advantage in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Menendez reflects these factors, including the district's partisan lean and Menendez's fundraising and endorsement edge. A strong independent campaign or late-breaking developments could introduce limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNJ-08 House Election Winner
NJ-08 House Election Winner
$15,630 Vol.
$15,630 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rob Menendez (D)
95%
Republican Party
6%
$15,630 Vol.
$15,630 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Rob Menendez (D)
$9,439 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$6,191 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69 percent of the primary vote, consolidating support from local party leaders and labor groups in the heavily Democratic district. The absence of a Republican nominee on the November ballot, following the GOP's failure to meet signature requirements, further reinforces the structural advantage in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Menendez reflects these factors, including the district's partisan lean and Menendez's fundraising and endorsement edge. A strong independent campaign or late-breaking developments could introduce limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$15,630Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69 percent of the primary vote, consolidating support from local party leaders and labor groups in the heavily Democratic district. The absence of a Republican nominee on the November ballot, following the GOP's failure to meet signature requirements, further reinforces the structural advantage in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Menendez reflects these factors, including the district's partisan lean and Menendez's fundraising and endorsement edge. A strong independent campaign or late-breaking developments could introduce limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$15,630Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rob Menendez secured the Democratic nomination in June by defeating challenger Mussab Ali with roughly 69 percent of the primary vote, consolidating support from local party leaders and labor groups in the heavily Democratic district. The absence of a Republican nominee on the November ballot, following the GOP's failure to meet signature requirements, further reinforces the structural advantage in a seat rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Menendez reflects these factors, including the district's partisan lean and Menendez's fundraising and endorsement edge. A strong independent campaign or late-breaking developments could introduce limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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