Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07
Politica·4 Nov Elezioni

Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07

icon for Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07
Politica·4 Nov Elezioni

Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07

Polymarket

$23,359 Vol.

Polymarket

$23,359 Vol.

Eric Burlison (R)

$17,012 Vol.

95%

Missi Hesketh (D)

$6,347 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 7th District, while Missi Hesketh advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The southwestern Missouri district, encompassing Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Burlison's 71.6 percent victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Recent court rulings have preserved the existing map for the November 3 contest, maintaining the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, fundraising disparities, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts remain unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,359
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Eric Burlison secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with nearly 74 percent of the vote in Missouri's 7th District, while Missi Hesketh advanced unopposed on the Democratic side. The southwestern Missouri district, encompassing Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and Burlison's 71.6 percent victory in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Recent court rulings have preserved the existing map for the November 3 contest, maintaining the district's partisan composition. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, including incumbency, fundraising disparities, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns in this district suggest such shifts remain unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$23,359
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio MO-06 alla Camera?

Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio MO-06 alla Camera?

95%
Sì
icon for Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio della Camera MO-08?

Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio della Camera MO-08?

96%
Sì
icon for Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio della Camera nel MO-03?

Il Partito Repubblicano vincerà il seggio della Camera nel MO-03?

93%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Eric Burlison (R)" a 95%, seguito da "Missi Hesketh (D)" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07" ha generato $23.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jan 28, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07", esplora i 2 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07" è "Eric Burlison (R)" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Missi Hesketh (D)" a 6%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera MO-07" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.