Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and current role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured over 80 percent in the August 11 Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed after winning the DFL endorsement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's partisan baseline and Emmer's prior strong performances. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Emmer aligns with these fundamentals, including substantial fundraising advantages. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain high for the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-06 House Election Winner
MN-06 House Election Winner
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
91%
Doug Chapin (D)
10%
$41,423 Vol.
$41,423 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Tom Emmer (R)
$23,380 Vol.
91%
Doug Chapin (D)
$18,043 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and current role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured over 80 percent in the August 11 Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed after winning the DFL endorsement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's partisan baseline and Emmer's prior strong performances. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Emmer aligns with these fundamentals, including substantial fundraising advantages. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain high for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$41,423Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and current role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured over 80 percent in the August 11 Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed after winning the DFL endorsement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's partisan baseline and Emmer's prior strong performances. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Emmer aligns with these fundamentals, including substantial fundraising advantages. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain high for the challenger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,423Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer holds a commanding position in Minnesota's 6th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's consistent Republican lean, his long tenure since 2015, and current role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured over 80 percent in the August 11 Republican primary against two challengers, while Democrat Doug Chapin advanced unopposed after winning the DFL endorsement. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the area's partisan baseline and Emmer's prior strong performances. Trader consensus at 91 percent for Emmer aligns with these fundamentals, including substantial fundraising advantages. A late scandal, significant health event, or unexpected national partisan shift could alter outcomes, though structural barriers remain high for the challenger.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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