Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data position the overnight low in Seattle at 54–55°F as the dominant outcome, driven by persistent marine layer clouds, light showers, and southerly winds maintaining mild advection over the region. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical under clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 52°F. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops amid high humidity and 100% cloud cover through the period, with current readings near 55–57°F supporting the market-implied 87% probability on 54–55°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus from official guidance against minor model spread that could allow a brief dip toward 52–53°F if winds slacken.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seattle il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Seattle il 13 settembre?
54-55°F 87%
50-51°F 2%
48-49°F 1.9%
47°F o inferiore <1%
$493 Vol.
$493 Vol.
13 set 2026
47°F o inferiore
<1%
48-49°F
2%
50-51°F
2%
52-53°F
37%
54-55°F
87%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o superiore
<1%
54-55°F 87%
50-51°F 2%
48-49°F 1.9%
47°F o inferiore <1%
$493 Vol.
$493 Vol.
13 set 2026
47°F o inferiore
$66 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$67 Vol.
2%
50-51°F
$74 Vol.
2%
52-53°F
$15 Vol.
37%
54-55°F
$17 Vol.
87%
56-57°F
$254 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
66°F o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data position the overnight low in Seattle at 54–55°F as the dominant outcome, driven by persistent marine layer clouds, light showers, and southerly winds maintaining mild advection over the region. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical under clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 52°F. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops amid high humidity and 100% cloud cover through the period, with current readings near 55–57°F supporting the market-implied 87% probability on 54–55°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus from official guidance against minor model spread that could allow a brief dip toward 52–53°F if winds slacken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volume
$493Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data position the overnight low in Seattle at 54–55°F as the dominant outcome, driven by persistent marine layer clouds, light showers, and southerly winds maintaining mild advection over the region. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical under clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 52°F. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops amid high humidity and 100% cloud cover through the period, with current readings near 55–57°F supporting the market-implied 87% probability on 54–55°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus from official guidance against minor model spread that could allow a brief dip toward 52–53°F if winds slacken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$493Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and observational data position the overnight low in Seattle at 54–55°F as the dominant outcome, driven by persistent marine layer clouds, light showers, and southerly winds maintaining mild advection over the region. These conditions suppress radiative cooling typical under clear skies, keeping minimum temperatures several degrees above the September climatological average of roughly 52°F. Model consensus shows limited overnight drops amid high humidity and 100% cloud cover through the period, with current readings near 55–57°F supporting the market-implied 87% probability on 54–55°F. Traders appear to weigh the strong consensus from official guidance against minor model spread that could allow a brief dip toward 52–53°F if winds slacken.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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