Israel’s Central Elections Committee recently voted 18-5 to disqualify the Joint List from the October 27 Knesset election under Basic Law provisions on support for armed struggle or rejection of the state’s Jewish and democratic character, following petitions from Likud and allied parties. The decision remains provisional, with appeals scheduled before the Supreme Court, which maintains a historically high evidentiary threshold and has overturned most prior disqualifications despite the committee’s political makeup. The Attorney General has stated that available evidence falls short of the required standard. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the list remaining eligible because Supreme Court precedent and institutional checks make final exclusion improbable absent exceptional new developments or altered court composition before voting.