Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in Indiana's 7th district primary by defeating multiple challengers, while Patrick McAuley advanced unopposed in substance on the Republican side. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent prior margins exceeding 65 percent and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from major forecasters. Carson's established fundraising lead and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late-cycle health event, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given structural factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2 nov 2026
André Carson (D)
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
1%
$45,726 Vol.
$45,726 Vol.
2 nov 2026
André Carson (D)
$7,947 Vol.
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
$37,779 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in Indiana's 7th district primary by defeating multiple challengers, while Patrick McAuley advanced unopposed in substance on the Republican side. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent prior margins exceeding 65 percent and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from major forecasters. Carson's established fundraising lead and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late-cycle health event, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$45,726Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in Indiana's 7th district primary by defeating multiple challengers, while Patrick McAuley advanced unopposed in substance on the Republican side. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent prior margins exceeding 65 percent and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from major forecasters. Carson's established fundraising lead and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late-cycle health event, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$45,726Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent André Carson secured the Democratic nomination in Indiana's 7th district primary by defeating multiple challengers, while Patrick McAuley advanced unopposed in substance on the Republican side. The urban Indianapolis-centered seat carries a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in consistent prior margins exceeding 65 percent and ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic from major forecasters. Carson's established fundraising lead and long tenure further reinforce trader consensus near 96 percent for the Democratic nominee. A late-cycle health event, major scandal, or unprecedented national swing could theoretically shift the outcome before the November 3 general election, though such developments remain low-probability given structural factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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