**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 13 settembre?
28°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,782 Vol.
$23,782 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Sì
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o superiore
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C o inferiore <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$23,782 Vol.
$23,782 Vol.
13 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$183 Vol.
No
23°C
$168 Vol.
No
24°C
$227 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,171 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,674 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,078 Vol.
No
28°C
$5,248 Vol.
Sì
29°C
$4,462 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,378 Vol.
No
31°C
$572 Vol.
No
32°C o superiore
$622 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$23,782Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.**
Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,782Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus at 100% on a 28°C high for Qingdao on September 13 reflects consistent surface observations and short-range model guidance showing a daily maximum near that threshold.** Coastal stations, including Qingdao Liuting Airport, recorded afternoon peaks around 27–28°C under partly cloudy skies with light variable winds and moderate humidity, aligning with forecasts from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and international models like GFS and ECMWF. This outcome fits typical mid-September climatology for the region, where highs often reach the upper 20s°C before seasonal cooling. The market-implied probability could shift only if final official verification from the primary reporting station revises the exact maximum due to timing of the peak or minor observational adjustments, though current data streams indicate low likelihood of such revision.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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