Forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima in Milan on September 18, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C or 24°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or drizzle that could limit daytime warming. Current conditions feature high humidity and variable skies, which recent runs suggest may cap temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger insolation. Model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 22°C viable while making 25°C or higher less likely absent clearer conditions. Updated guidance from the next model cycles will likely narrow these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Milano il 18 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Milano il 18 settembre?
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
22°C 21%
25°C o superiore 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
21%
23°C
36%
24°C
34%
25°C o superiore
9%
23°C 36%
24°C 34%
22°C 21%
25°C o superiore 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 set 2026
15°C o inferiore
$45 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,287 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$303 Vol.
1%
20°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$436 Vol.
5%
22°C
$792 Vol.
21%
23°C
$1,040 Vol.
36%
24°C
$1,618 Vol.
34%
25°C o superiore
$1,143 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima in Milan on September 18, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C or 24°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or drizzle that could limit daytime warming. Current conditions feature high humidity and variable skies, which recent runs suggest may cap temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger insolation. Model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 22°C viable while making 25°C or higher less likely absent clearer conditions. Updated guidance from the next model cycles will likely narrow these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,100Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima in Milan on September 18, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C or 24°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or drizzle that could limit daytime warming. Current conditions feature high humidity and variable skies, which recent runs suggest may cap temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger insolation. Model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 22°C viable while making 25°C or higher less likely absent clearer conditions. Updated guidance from the next model cycles will likely narrow these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,100Data di fine
18 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like ECMWF and GFS indicate a tight range of possible daily maxima in Milan on September 18, with trader-implied odds favoring 23°C or 24°C due to lingering uncertainty in cloud cover, light easterly winds, and scattered showers or drizzle that could limit daytime warming. Current conditions feature high humidity and variable skies, which recent runs suggest may cap temperatures near or slightly above seasonal averages rather than allowing stronger insolation. Model spread on precipitation timing and boundary-layer mixing keeps 22°C viable while making 25°C or higher less likely absent clearer conditions. Updated guidance from the next model cycles will likely narrow these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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