Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May primaries. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by redistricting and recent voting patterns, combined with McBath’s strong prior performance and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus that she will secure a majority and avoid any runoff. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability near 98 percent. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually sharp national political shift in the final weeks before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
97% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 mar 2027
Sì
97% probabilità
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 mar 2027
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May primaries. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by redistricting and recent voting patterns, combined with McBath’s strong prior performance and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus that she will secure a majority and avoid any runoff. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability near 98 percent. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually sharp national political shift in the final weeks before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$234Data di fine
1 apr 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May primaries. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by redistricting and recent voting patterns, combined with McBath’s strong prior performance and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus that she will secure a majority and avoid any runoff. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability near 98 percent. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually sharp national political shift in the final weeks before Election Day.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Volume
$234Data di fine
1 apr 2027Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath faces Republican Kevin Martin in Georgia’s 6th congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both secured their party nominations in the May primaries. The district’s consistent Democratic lean, reinforced by redistricting and recent voting patterns, combined with McBath’s strong prior performance and fundraising edge, underpins trader consensus that she will secure a majority and avoid any runoff. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, aligning with the implied probability near 98 percent. Late developments that could still alter the outcome include a significant scandal, health event, or unusually sharp national political shift in the final weeks before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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