Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the November 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic. McBride secured the seat in 2024 with a double-digit margin in a state where Democrats have held the House seat since 2010 and maintain a trifecta in state government. The Democratic primary was canceled after no challengers filed, while multiple Republicans entered their September primary without demonstrated statewide strength or significant fundraising. This structural and historical edge underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave before Election Day, though current conditions leave limited scope for such developments to reverse the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the November 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic. McBride secured the seat in 2024 with a double-digit margin in a state where Democrats have held the House seat since 2010 and maintain a trifecta in state government. The Democratic primary was canceled after no challengers filed, while multiple Republicans entered their September primary without demonstrated statewide strength or significant fundraising. This structural and historical edge underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave before Election Day, though current conditions leave limited scope for such developments to reverse the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,260Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the November 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic. McBride secured the seat in 2024 with a double-digit margin in a state where Democrats have held the House seat since 2010 and maintain a trifecta in state government. The Democratic primary was canceled after no challengers filed, while multiple Republicans entered their September primary without demonstrated statewide strength or significant fundraising. This structural and historical edge underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave before Election Day, though current conditions leave limited scope for such developments to reverse the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,260Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sarah McBride holds a commanding position in Delaware’s at-large congressional district, where nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the November 2026 contest as Safe or Solid Democratic. McBride secured the seat in 2024 with a double-digit margin in a state where Democrats have held the House seat since 2010 and maintain a trifecta in state government. The Democratic primary was canceled after no challengers filed, while multiple Republicans entered their September primary without demonstrated statewide strength or significant fundraising. This structural and historical edge underpins the 94.5% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave before Election Day, though current conditions leave limited scope for such developments to reverse the outcome.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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