**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
4% probabilità
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
4% probabilità
$91,769 Vol.
$91,769 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Volume
$91,769Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$91,769Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...**Brazil’s Senate holds sole authority to try STF justices for crimes of responsibility, requiring a two-thirds vote (54 of 81 senators) for removal, a threshold never met in the court’s history.** Over 100 impeachment petitions—most targeting Alexandre de Moraes amid the Banco Master investigation and related disputes—remain stalled by Senate President Davi Alcolumbre’s gatekeeping authority. Lula-aligned majorities in the current Congress continue to block advancement, while recent opposition proposals to bypass the president via 49 signatures or shorten timelines face uncertain prospects before year-end. With national elections approaching in October 2026 and the next Senate term beginning in 2027, traders view the procedural, numerical, and political barriers as decisive through the end of 2026. Late-breaking scandals, an unexpected Senate rules overhaul, or a decisive post-election shift in composition could still reopen the possibility.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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